Publications
28 papers, 2014–2026
Peer-reviewed work in mathematical modeling, statistics, computational biology and public health. Titles link to the publisher's page.
For a full list see Google Scholar.
2026
- Science in One HealthHigh-resolution climate–dengue modeling and mid-century projections under SSP5-8.5 in Costa Rica
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society BManaging populations after a disease outbreak: exploration of epidemiological consequences of managed host reintroduction following disease-driven host decline
- Journal of Biological SystemsStochastic dynamics in epidemiological models with interconnected populations
2025
2024
- Revista Tecnología en Marcha · IEEE BIP proceedingsPreliminary analysis of socioeconomic variable correlation with geospatial modeling in Costa Rica dengue epidemics
- Bulletin of Mathematical BiologySource-sink dynamics in a two-patch SI epidemic model with life stages and no recovery from infection
2023
- Environmental and Ecological StatisticsBayesian spatio-temporal model with INLA for dengue fever risk prediction in Costa Rica
- PLOS Global Public HealthCommon patterns between dengue cases, climate, and local environmental variables in Costa Rica: a wavelet approach
- Infectious Disease ModellingA nonlinear relapse model with disaggregated contact rates: analysis of a forward-backward bifurcation
- PLOS Neglected Tropical DiseasesAssessing dengue fever risk in Costa Rica using climate variables and machine learning techniques
- Journal of Biological DynamicsA mathematical model with nonlinear relapse: conditions for a forward-backward bifurcation
2022
- Revista Panamericana de Salud PúblicaMathematical and statistical models for the control of mosquito-borne diseases: the experience of Costa Rica
- Scientific ReportsProjecting the impact of COVID-19 variants and vaccination strategies in Costa Rica
- Mathematical Biosciences and EngineeringAn implementation of a multilayer network model for the Covid-19 pandemic: a Costa Rica study
- EpidemicsA multilayer network model of Covid-19: implications in public health policy in Costa Rica
2021
2019
- Revista de Matemática: Teoría y AplicacionesA two-patch epidemic model with nonlinear reinfection
- Revista de Matemática: Teoría y AplicacionesClimate-driven statistical models as effective predictors of local dengue incidence in Costa Rica: a generalized additive model and random forest approach
- Revista de Matemática: Teoría y AplicacionesTransmission dynamics of dengue in Costa Rica: the role of hospitalizations
- Revista de Matemática: Teoría y AplicacionesDengue model with early-life stage of vectors and age-structure within host
- Computers & Mathematics with ApplicationsA partial differential equation model with age-structure and nonlinear recidivism: conditions for a backward bifurcation and a general numerical implementation
- Mathematical Biosciences and EngineeringParameter estimates of the 2016–2017 Zika outbreak in Costa Rica: an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach
- Revista de Matemática: Teoría y AplicacionesThe role of short-term immigration on disease dynamics: an SIR model with age-structure
- Mathematical BiosciencesInfection model for analyzing biological control of coffee rust using bacterial anti-fungal compounds
2018
- Ricerche di MatematicaComparative analysis of dengue versus chikungunya outbreaks in Costa Rica
2014
- Letters in BiomathematicsVertical transmission in a two-strain model of dengue fever